With 120 pegs on the big lake there will be a fair amount of pressure on it, the match lake has 24 pegs so that will be less pressurised with only 10 anglers on it, and could be a bit of an unknown after being restocked following last years problems. a target weight of 80lb would be in most anglers minds, but if those carp dont respond then that could drop significantly and the match lake be in with a shout,
Weather conditions could also play a big part with no wind the big lake will be flat calm and that is when its not at its best. Be aware that if there is a blow on the big lake can tow a bit.
But to answer the question good or bad I think the winner will find a few carp and come off the big lake probably fishing the method feeder.
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